As a rookie in 2018, Saquon Barkley took the NFL by storm, rating because the RB1 in PPR and RB2 in customary. Since then, he is missed 17 video games over the previous two seasons, coping with ankle, hamstring, and knee accidents. However, as among the best operating again prospects the league has ever seen, he is nonetheless a sizzling fantasy commodity dispite his current points, together with a gradual return to the sector in 2021 after a torn ACL the 12 months earlier than.
Many anticipate him to bounce again simply wonderful and regain his place as one of many premier gamers in fantasy soccer, however when will he be at 100%? And if he isn’t absolutely wholesome early in 2021, the place ought to he be drafted?
DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Ultimate 2021 Cheat Sheet
Put much more bluntly: Should you are taking Barkley within the first spherical? And if you happen to do, the place within the first spherical is the suitable spot?
Note: It’s vital to recollect — it is your fantasy draft. If you are feeling strongly about Barkley, take him. If you hate his prospects, fade him. Just make sure you know all of the attainable elements and most up-to-date information surrounding his outlook.
Saquon Barkley present and previous damage information
DraftSharks lists 4 vital accidents on Barkley’s rap sheet since he entered the league — three of them inflicting missed video games. In 2019, he suffered a excessive ankle sprain that price him three video games. In ’20, he tore his ACL and sprained his MCL in Week 2, leading to a misplaced season and 14 video games missed.
Heading into this season, all of us anticipated him to be able to go for Week 1. After all, his damage got here on Sept. 20 in 2020 — virtually a full 12 months beore the Giants’ ’21 season opener set for Sept 12. However, his restoration has gone slower than deliberate, the New York is being further cautious with him. After being activated off the PUP listing on Aug. 9, Barkley has merely been a restricted participant in observe, taking live reps in a non-contact jersey for the time on Aug. 26. His Week 1 availability continues to be up within the air, and there is additionally no certainty that he’ll even be obtainable by Week 2. Even when he’s again, his snaps might be lowered.
UPDATE 9/2: ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reported there is a “strong chance” Barkley is prepared for Week 1.
Saquon Barkley fantasy rating and ADP
SN Fantasy has Saquon Barkley ranked RB3 in PPR and RB4 in standard. Obviously, we aren’t out on Barkley, per se, however we all know to proceed with warning. Remember, ADP is completely different from rankings. Rankings point out the perceived pecking order of who will outscore who as decided by a specific fantasy website. ADP is extra indicative of the place gamers are being chosen throughout a large sampling of drafts. Individual drafters could be extra risk-averse than others, tremendously affecting a participant’s ADP.
In customary leagues, Barkley’s FantasyPros ADP sits at No. 8 amongst RBs behind Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Ezekiel Elliott, and Aaron Jones. In PPR, he is the RB6, passing Chubb and Jones. Without damage concern, Barkley would seemingly comfortably sit on the high with McCaffrey, so clearly many drafters are involved. Keep a watchful eye on his ADP proper earlier than your draft. If it takes a pointy decline, you seemingly missed out on an damage or availability replace.
Saquon Barkley Fantasy Outlook: Should you draft him within the first spherical?
Put merely, drafting Barkley within the first spherical is a threat, however it’s one that might repay tremendously. As acknowledged earlier, he’d be seen equally to McCaffrey if the damage issues weren’t current, which clearly means he has CMC upside and is a contender to be the No. 1 RB in all of fantasy soccer. Since he isn’t being commonly drafted contained in the top-five in both scoring format, that is clearly an thrilling risk.
With that being stated, you do not want to draft him earlier than the No. 6 choose. It’s powerful to go up on the premier backs with fewer damage questions, particularly in customary leagues. In PPR, the danger feels extra value it, as Barkley is likely one of the league’s greatest receiving backs. He nonetheless does not have an incredible offensive line in entrance of him, which does not assist his case on the bottom.
We ran a poll on Twitter (@sn_fantasy) asking our viewers to weigh in on Barkley’s state of affairs. The query raised was: If you knew Saquon Barkley was going to overlook the primary two weeks of the NFL season, the place would you are feeling snug drafting him? Out of 65 voters, 23.1 p.c stated first spherical, 43.1 p.c stated second spherical, 24.6 p.c stated third spherical, and 9.2 p.c stated not all.
Newsflash: There’s no probability he makes it to the third spherical. Missing the primary two weeks of the season looks like the worst case for Barkley, however it’s not out of the query. Missing two weeks does not sound all that vital, however you are seemingly going to be a serious underdog in your Week 1 and a couple of matchups if you happen to took him early. Do you actually need to need to climb out of a 0-2 gap?
We are inclined to agree with the outcomes from our ballot. If there is a sturdy indication he’ll be out for Weeks 1 and a couple of, do not take him until he falls to the second spherical. If he is slated to only miss Week 1, a mid-to-late first-round choose might be definitely worth the threat. If he is lively for Week 1, even when he is restricted, his present ADP looks like a great spot for him.
The enjoyable half is we seemingly will not know till the day earlier than, if not the day of the Giants’ opener. The smartest thing to do is proceed to observe reviews all the way in which up to date of your drafts. If you are one who throws warning to the wind and swings for the fences of upside, he is most likely your type of man this 12 months. If you are ultra-safe on the damage entrance, there are many strong choices within the first two rounds. If you resolve to draft him, make sure you pair him with a handcuff RB (particularly Barkley’s handcuff, Devontae Booker) or a late-round sleeper (or deep sleeper, relying in your league dimension).
You do not at all times need to “hedge your bet,” in fantasy soccer, however with a participant who’s perceived to hold super threat, it could be applicable on this case.